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Friday, October 29, 2010

فاریکس ٹریڈنگ کیسے کریں؟

فاریکس ٹریڈ نگ سوفٹ ویئر
MetaTrader4 یعنی MT4 ایک بہترین ٹریڈنگ سوفٹ ویئر ہے۔ اس کے آنے سے پہلے ہر کمپنی /بروکر کے پاس اپنا اپنا ٹریڈنگ سوفٹ ویئر تھا۔ کوئی یکسانیت نہیں تھی ہر پروگرام میں کوئی نہ کوئی خامی تھی۔ اگر آپ نے کسی نئی کمپنی میں اکا ¶نٹ کھولنا ہوتا تو پہلے آ پ کو اس کا ٹریڈنگ سوفٹ ویئر سیکھنا پڑتا تھا۔ لیکن اس سوفٹ ویئر نے بہت آسانیاں پیدا کر دی۔

۱۔ سب سے پہلے آپ نے mt4 کو یہاں سے ڈا ¶نلوڈ کرنا ہے ۔ یہ فائل زپ فارمیٹ (zip format)ہو گی۔ اس کو کسی بھی جگہ ان زپ کر لیں۔
اس کو انسٹال کرنے کی کوئی ضرورت نہیں ہے ۔ اس کو پورٹ ایبل سوفٹ ویئر بنا دیا گیا ہے آپ کی سہولت کے لئے۔ اور اس میں کچھ مزید بہترین انڈیکیٹرز (جن کی تفصیل بعد میں آئے گی) شامل کر دیئے گئے ہیں۔
۲۔ ان زپ(unzip) کرنے کے بعد آپ نے Terminal.exe فائل کو ڈبل کلک کرنا ہے۔ جونہی آپ کلک کریں گے‘ پروگرام چلنا شروع ہو جائے گا۔
۳۔ پروگرام کی پہلی سکرین یا فرنٹ سکرین اس طرح ہو گی

Friday, October 22, 2010

Forex Leverage & margin

Leverage

Leverage

Here's a chart of how much your account balance changes if prices moves depending on your leverage.

Leverage

% Change in Currency Pair

% Change in Account

100:1

1%

100%

50:1

1%

50%

33:1

1%

33%

20:1

1%

20%

10:1

1%

10%

5:1

1%

5%

3:1

1%

3%

1:1

1%

1%

Let's say you bought USD/JPY and it goes up by 1% from 120.00 to 121.20. If you trade one standard $100K lot, here is how leverage would affect your return:

Leverage

Margin Required

% Change in Account

100:1

$1,000

+100%

50:1

$2,000

+50%

33:1

$3,000

+33%

20:1

$5,000

+20%

10:1

$10,000

+10%

5:1

$20,000

+5%

3:1

$33,000

+3%

1:1

$100,000

+1%

Let's say you bought USD/JPY and it goes down by 1% from 120.00 to 118.80. If you trade one standard $100K lot, here is how leverage would affect your return (or loss):

Leverage

Margin Required

% Change in Account

100:1

$1,000

-100%

50:1

$2,000

-50%

33:1

$3,000

-33%

20:1

$5,000

-20%

10:1

$10,000

-10%

5:1

$20,000

-5%

3:1

$33,000

-3%

1:1

$100,000

-1%

The more leverage you use, the less "breathing room" you have for the market to move before a margin call.

You're probably thinking, "I'm a day trader, I don't need no stinkin' breathing room. I only use 20-30 pip stop losses."

Okay, let's take a look:

Example #1

You open a mini account with $500 which trades $10K mini lots and only requires .5% margin.

You buy 2 mini lots of EUR/USD. Your true leverage is 40:1 ($20,000 / $500). You place a 30-pip stop loss and it gets triggered. Your loss is $60 ($1/pip x 2 lots).

You've just lost 12% of your account ($60 loss / $500 account). Your account balance is now $440.

You believe you just had a bad day. The next day, you're feeling good and want to recoup yesterday losses, so you decide to double up and you buy 4 mini lots of EUR/USD. Your true leverage is about 90:1 ($40,000 / $440). You set your usual 30-pip stop loss and your trade loses. Your loss is $120 ($1/pip x 4 lots).

You've just lost 27% of your account ($120 loss/ $440 account). Your account balance is now $320.

You believe the tide will turn so you trade again. You buy 2 mini lots of EUR/USD. Your true leverage is about 63:1. You set your usual 30 pip stop loss and lose once again! Your loss is $60 ($1/pip x 2 lots).

You've just lost almost 19% of your account ($60 loss / $320 account). Your account balance is now $260.

You're getting frustrated. You try to think what you're doing wrong. You think your setting your stops too tight.

The next day you buy 3 mini lots of EUR/USD. Your true leverage is 115:1 ($30,000 / $260). You loosen your stop loss to 50 pips. The trade starts going against you and it looks like you're about to get stopped out yet again!

But what happens next is even worse! You get a margin call!

Since you opened 3 lots with a $260 account, your Used Margin was $150 so your Usable Margin was a measly $110. The trade went against you 37 pips and because you had 3 lots opened, you get a margin call. Your position has been liquidated at market price.

The only money you have left in your account is $150, the Used Margin that was returned to you after the margin call.

After four total trades, your trading account has gone from $500 to $150. A 70% loss! It won't be very long until you lose the rest.

Trade #

Starting Account Balance

# Lots of Used

Stop Loss (pips)

Trade Result

Ending Account Balance

1

$500

2

30

-$60

$440

2

$440

4

30

-$120

$320

3

$320

2

30

-$60

$260

4

$260

5

30

Margin Call

$150

A four trade losing streak is not uncommon. Experienced traders have similar or even longer streaks. The reason they're successful is because they use low leverage. Most cap their leverage at 5:1 but rarely go that high and stay around 3:1.

The other reason experienced traders succeed is because their accounts are properly capitalized!

While learning technical analysis, fundamental analysis, sentiment analysis, building a system, trading psychology is important, we believe the biggest factor on whether you succeed as a forex trader is making sure you capitalize your account sufficiently and trade that capital with smart leverage.

Your chances of becoming successful are greatly reduced below a minimum starting capital. It becomes impossible to mitigate the effects of leverage on too small an account.

Low leverage with proper capitalization allows you to realize losses that are very small which not only lets you sleep at night, but allows you to trade another day.

Example #2

Bill opens a $5,000 account trading $100,000 lots. He is trading with 20:1 leverage. The currency pairs that he normally trades moves anywhere from 70 to 200 pips on a daily basis. In order to protect himself, he uses tight 30 pip stops. If prices goes 30 pips against him, he will be stopped out for a loss of $300.00. Bill feels that 30 pips is reasonable but he underestimates how volatile the market is and finds himself being stopped out frequently.

After being stopped out four times, Bill has had enough. He decides to give himself a little more room, handle the swings, and increases his stop to 100 pips.

Bill's leverage is no longer 20:1. His account is down to $3,800 (because of his four losses at $300 each) and he's still trading one $100,000 lot. His leverage is now over 26:1.

He decides to tighten his stops to 50 pips. He opens another trade using two lots and two hours later his 50 pip stop loss is hit and he losses $1,000. He now has $2,800 in his account. His leverage is over 35:1.

He tries again with two lots. This time the market goes up 10 pips. He cashes out with a $200 profit. His account grows slightly to $3,000.

He opens another position with two lots. The market drops 50 points and he gets out. Now he has $2,000 left.

He thinks "What the hell" and opens another position. The market proceeds to drop another 100 pips and because he has $1,000 locked up as margin deposit, he only has $1,000 margin available, so he receives a margin call and his position is instantly liquidated.

He now has $1,000 left which is not even enough to open a new position.

He lost $4,000 or 80% of his account with a total of 8 trades and the market has only moved 280 pips. 280 pips! The market moves 280 pips pretty darn easy.

Are you starting to see why leverage is the top killer of forex traders?

Deleverage


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Forex Leverage & Margin

Forex Leverage

If so many traders are interested in trading the forex market, it’s mostly because of the industry’s high leverage capacities. Using leverage, traders can significantly increase the potential profit on an investment. Leverage trading, or Margin Trading, also means that traders don’t have to deposit the full value of their positions and can thus hold positions that are worth much more than their account capital (up to 200 times).

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Forex provides much more leverage than other financial markets such as stocks or futures for instance. Unlike active stocks whose prices may move from 5% to 10% a day, the volatility of currencies rarely exceeds 1% on a daily basis. In the world of forex, a one cent move (around 100 pips) in a currency value is actually considered a significant fluctuation. When trading forex, leverage is thus a way to earn higher returns on relatively small market movements. Trading currencies with a few thousand dollars and without leverage does not make much sense since return would be insignificant.

Example:

  • A trader has $1.000 in his account.
  • He buys one lot ($100,000) of GBP/USD at the price of 1.9750 with the maximum 200:1 leverage. The margin used is $500.
  • If the market moves in the trader’s favor up to 1.9850 (a 100-pip move), he makes a profit of $1,000 (100 pips x $10 per pip). His capital is now double his initial account capital ($1,000 initial capital + $1,000 gain). He made a 200% gain on his $500 margin and a $100% return on his $1,000 account.
  • If the market moves against the trader’s position by 20 pips, down to 1.9730, the trader loses $200 (20 pips x $10 per pip). His capital is now down to $800 ($1,000 - $200).
  • If the market moves against the trader’s position, let’s say 60 pips down to 1.9690, his position would have been automatically closed due to what is known as margin call. This means that the moment his account capital dropped below the $500 margin requirement, the position closes to avoid bigger losses. In this case, the trader has lost around $500, or 50% of his initial equity. He still holds $500 in his account.

Leverage and Margin

As you saw in the example above, leverage and margin are interconnected since you can use margin to create leverage and since leverage utilizes margin. In forex, when you leverage a position, you put down collateral, also known as margin, to enter a position whose value is much greater than this collateral. We offers several leverage options, up to 200 to 1. This means that with a $1,000, you can purchase $200,000 worth of a currency. However, although leverage is a great tool to increase your buying power and use less capital to trade, it also comes with great risk. If the market moves against the trader’s position, the loss sustained by the trader will be far more significant that it would’ve been without leverage. For this reason, some traders prefer to test the market sentiment by first applying small leverage and opening small positions. If they see that they were right and that the market is moving in their favor, they hurry to increase leverage for maximized profits.

Traders must remember that in forex, leverage is a double-edged sword: while it can multiply your gain potential exponentially, it can equally magnify your loss potential. We therefore recommend that traders new to the forex market start trading with small leverage options.

One last word about leverage: like with margin, leverage can also be utilized with other financial instruments such as futures, CFD and Options. For example, if a trader wants to invest $2,000, he could invest it in 20 shares of a given stock whose price is $100 per share, but he could also invest it in ten options contracts. That way, he would control 100 shares instead of owning just 10 shares.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Paypal Alternative for Pakistan, India, world

PayPal alternative for Pakistan - MoneyBookers


Moneybookers: PayPal alternative for Pakistan.

PayPal does not allow sign ups from Pakistan. I can not seem to find any technical reason behind that. Maybe only god knows why they do not like us? I said this because I tried to contact PayPal official support and I inquired them when the sign ups will be available in Pakistan. The answer was not satisfactory, in fact the answer was not even related to the question I asked. PayPal added bunch of countries to their accepted countries list early in May, and again Pakistan was not even on that list. See the approved counties list. And the worst thing is PayPal is an ebay company, I think ebay should also remove sign ups for Pakistan. If we cannot put our money online then how can we buy and sell?

So, if PayPal is not available for us then what should we (the people of Pakistan) do? Don’t we need to spent money online? Don’t we need to buy things online? Don’t we need send money to someone? Don’t we need to earn money online? Don’t we need to sell things online? Either wait for the PayPal to approve our country or go a head and get your self signed up on Moneybookers.com. Moneybookers is the very nice service and lot of people use it, does not matter if the users are not 100 million but atleast their are million people using it. I myself has an account on Moneybookers, the services is awesome.

My Address has already been verified, now I will verify my bank account in few days ;) although I don’t need to verify it as the current outgoing and incoming limit is pretty high for me :) . But you have all type of options available. So, in last Moneybookers is a very good service for online money transactions.

I hope to see Moneybookers supported by every second site like they do support PayPal. For me I will be asking to add support for Moneybookers where ever I will be buying or selling things. If that worked out may be I will never need to have a PayPal account.

Go go Moneybookers.

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